Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.016910 0.018891 0.020884 0.023032 0.025278 0.027549 0.030017
2025-03-23 0.013108 0.016203 0.019451 0.023079 0.026992 0.031060 0.035586
2025-03-30 0.010294 0.014007 0.018054 0.022712 0.027859 0.033317 0.039492
2025-04-06 0.008009 0.012055 0.016635 0.022054 0.028170 0.034763 0.042321
2025-04-13 0.005929 0.010066 0.014956 0.020911 0.027775 0.035289 0.044008
2025-04-20 0.005035 0.009397 0.014721 0.021335 0.029063 0.037609 0.047601
2025-04-27 0.003877 0.008239 0.013791 0.020858 0.029250 0.038633 0.049698
2025-05-04 0.002855 0.007115 0.012804 0.020233 0.029199 0.039335 0.051382
2025-05-11 0.002328 0.006619 0.012568 0.020481 0.030138 0.041135 0.054275
2025-05-18 0.001750 0.005946 0.012042 0.020326 0.030565 0.042318 0.056443
2025-05-25 0.001148 0.005094 0.011202 0.019725 0.030418 0.042806 0.057789
2025-06-01 0.000739 0.004464 0.010614 0.019407 0.030582 0.043631 0.059500
2025-06-08 0.000317 0.003634 0.009743 0.018794 0.030505 0.044326 0.061255
2025-06-15 0.000115 0.003156 0.009377 0.018863 0.031308 0.046113 0.064341
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.002565 0.008749 0.018532 0.031583 0.047254 0.066664
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001950 0.007971 0.017934 0.031479 0.047910 0.068395
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001287 0.006942 0.016897 0.030758 0.047782 0.069170
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001132 0.006890 0.017281 0.031877 0.049885 0.072572
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000786 0.006324 0.016849 0.031895 0.050620 0.074334
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000478 0.005704 0.016283 0.031705 0.051076 0.075745
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000370 0.005590 0.016507 0.032570 0.052834 0.078704
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000226 0.005267 0.016367 0.032925 0.053944 0.080877
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000079 0.004728 0.015824 0.032703 0.054316 0.082148